The bias in catch time series data that occurs when improvements in fisheries catch reporting systems (e.g.,consideration of a previously unmonitored fishery, or region) lead to an increase in current catches without thecorresponding past catches being corrected retroactively, here called 'presentist bias' is described, and twoexamples, pertaining to Mozambique and Tanzania are given. This bias has the effect of generating catch timeseries at the aggregate that appear 'stable' or increasing when in fact catches are declining over time, withpotentially serious consequences for the assessment of the status of national fisheries, or in interpreting theglobal landings data disseminated by the FAO. The presentist bias can be compensated for by retroactive nationaldata corrections as done, e.g., through catch reconstructions.
DOI:
Issue Areas
- Agriculture and Food
- Energy and Environment
Publishers
- Marine Policy
Funder
- Oak Foundation
- Marisla Foundation
- MAVA Foundation
- Paul M. Angell Foundation
Doc Type
- Article
Language
- English
Geography
- Africa (Eastern) / Tanzania
- Africa (Southeastern) / Mozambique
Copyright
- Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License